04 July 2014

Emirates “virtually cancelled” the A350 order in May

Airbus knew of the cancellation of a 70 aircraft order from Emirates well in advance of their disclosure during Innovation Days. This is the suggestion of an article published in Challenges  (here) by Vincent Lamigeon -that AirInsight translates into English.-



On 8/May, Emirates’ annual report included the A380 and 777X orders but did not include the A350 order. So the cancellation had already officially anticipated or almost recorded but not populated.

Video capture: Source Airbus


Fabrice Bregier, Airbus CEO wanted to cut short any discussion that evening at a dinner in front of 200 journalists gathered for the airframer’s Innovation Days: “There will be zero negative impact”, he said.”I’m not saying there will be a positive impact, but there will be no negative impact.”



Did Airbus tell all their secrets? the timing of the announcement remains under question.
Does this have a connection with the order for 50 A380s, announced at the Dubai Airshow in November/2013?  In that case, why Airbus didn´t release the information before?





Questioned at the Airbus Innovation Days on 11/June, John Leahy answered clearly: “If the cancellation was decided last year, it was reported last year. The order was recently canceled.” A few minutes later, Airbus Customer COO was even more specific. “I discovered it when we publicly disclosed. You ask if I knew that Tim Clark was reviewing its fleet? Tim is constantly reviewing his fleet.”



Based on the article “Annulation des A350 d’Emirates : un document troublant” published in Challenges

03 July 2014

A350 MSN1 doing Certification Crosswind tests at Iceland


MSN1 prototype is at Keflavik airport in Iceland for some days doing crosswind test within the Type Certification campaign. This kind of test were also done in Clemont-Ferrand/Auvergne airport in France 2 months ago.


Based on https://www.flickr.com/photos/35133216@N05/14382832589/in/photostream/


The A350 team has flown to Keflavik airport after weather forecasts indicated conditions most pilots try to avoid — wind across the runway.


Why Iceland?
Because of the airports notoriously high winds and long perpendicular runways, the Icelandic airport is ideal for testing the crosswind handling capabilities of commercial aircraft.



Keflavik hosted the 787 and the A380, which conducted its own crosswind trials there in 2007.


Airbus pilots will make several takeoffs and landings on Runway 02 with winds of 30 knots, gusting to 39 from a heading of 120 degrees. The target is testing nearly perpendicular winds at or exceeding speeds most airlines consider the limit for landing.


02 July 2014

A350 would have a 2nd chance competing with the 787-10 in Emirates before end of 2014.



Airbus is to get a second chance to sell its new A350 aircraft to Emirates Airline after the fast-growing Gulf carrier revealed it would take a fresh look at the case for buying the long-range passenger jet, in a head-to-head contest with Boeing’s 787 Dreamliner.

Video capture; Source Airbus.


Tim Clark, Emirates’ president, said the airline would hold discussions with Airbus and Boeing either late this year or next year about the merits of buying the A350 or the Dreamliner 787. Emirates is interested in purchasing between 50 and 70 wide-body aircraft capable of flying on regional routes in the Middle East, plus to cities in Africa.


Emirates’ planned move is a boost for Boeing, because the carrier has never placed an order for the 787.

Video capture; Source Airbus.


2 people familiar with the situation said Emirates decided to drop its A350 order made in 2007 because it had concerns about the jet’s specification and performance. Mr. Clark declined to comment on the reasons for the cancellation but said the airline wanted to buy a “mature” aircraft. “When the aircraft are mature, they will be better defined in terms of 
performance, fuel burn,” he added.

Mr Clark said: “At the end of this year, beginning of next year, we will re-engage with Airbus on the A350. We will also engage with Boeing about the 787.”



Based on the article “Emirates to reconsider Airbus A350 order.” published in The Financial Times.


01 July 2014

Comments on the “Airbus´ Very Bad Day” due to Emirates´ cancellation of A350 order.


This is a summary of the opinion-article written by Richard Aboulafia in Forbes Magazine the day of the Emirates´ announcement of A350 order cancellation, “the worst cancellation ever suffered by Airbus”.
A350 XWB Program.
Obviously, the first step is to point out that the A350 remains a very healthy program, with a very large order book and superb technical execution. 

http://www.airbus.com/galleries/photo-gallery/.   ©Airbus

Emirates.
It’s also worthwhile remembering that Emirates, despite its fantastic growth rates, really couldn’t absorb all these planes.  Being the biggest A380 customer, the biggest 777 customer, the biggest 777X customer, and one of the biggest A350 XWB customers is asking too much of one airline, no matter how fast they’re expanding.  Something had to give.

Airbus has a problem.
The second and much bigger step for Airbus is to admit they have a problem.   Boeing has two families (787 and 777/777X) covering the 240-407 seat waterfront; Airbus has been trying to cover as much of this waterfront as possible with the A350XWB family.  That’s a flawed strategy.

http://www.airbus.com/galleries/photo-gallery/.   ©Airbus

Decisions with big impact.
This second step requires two decisions, which will have a big impact.  The first is to stop pretending the A350-800 has any kind of future.  Kill it, and replace it with the A330neo.  That will cover the 250-300-seat segment.  To put it another way, without an A330neo, Airbus will effectively abandon this segment.
The second move is to start looking at options for the 370-410-seat segment.  The history of this market clearly teaches us that the biggest twinjet has a strong advantage, and the 777-9X looks set to be a category killer.  Airbus needs to examine its options, considering whether an A350-1000 stretch (a -1100) is technically feasible.
http://www.airbus.com/galleries/photo-gallery/.   ©Airbus


Clean sheet-of-paper large twinjet.
If this stretch isn’t possible, the company needs to consider a clean sheet of paper large twinjet, perhaps a notch larger than the 777-9X.  As part of this planning, Airbus needs to abandon any hope that the A380neo concept has a future. 
http://www.airbus.com/galleries/photo-gallery/.   ©Airbus

Catastrophe foreseen.
“Today was bad for Airbus, yet not catastrophic.  But failure to take action in this segment of the market could set Airbus up for future disasters that add up to catastrophe.”




Based on the article “Airbus's Terrible, Horrible, No Good, Very Bad 
Day...And What They Can Do To Make It Better” published in Forbes.


30 June 2014

Supply Chain is still the "very hot topic" for A350 Head of Program D.Evrard.

During the Innovation Days held on 12/June at Toulouse, Didier Evrard Head of A350 Program highlighted the high-pressure on the Supply Chain that Airbus is doing through the "supply chain improvement plan in place".


Source: Premium Aerotec



Most of the issues in terms of A350 production have been linked to suppliers not being ready and  Evrard expects suppliers will be significantly challenged, at least through next year. 




There are 213 suppliers in total over all commodities, including not only tier 1 but tier 2 and other suppliers.



Currently, 90% of the A350 suppliers are under standard surveillance by Airbus and have had some improvement initiatives put in place. 





Joint improvement plans are underway for 7.5% of suppliers, and 2.5% who are deemed as a very high risk to production efforts are undergoing a heavy-duty development and transformation regime. 



For these "very-critical suppliers", resident teams are performing a "very very rigorous process to allow transforming themselves" in terms of maturity.



Based on the article "New World" published in Aviation Week, and based on the presentation of Didier Evrard during the Innovation Days available here.

29 June 2014

A350 Industrial Progress

During the Innovation Days held in Toulouse on 12/June, Airbus A350 Head of Program Didier Evrard presented the status of different workpackages and sections of the A350-900 on the pre-FALs in Europe to remark that the target is to be at rate3 by the end of 2014 and that the ramp-up has already started.


Source: FlighGlobal

Considering that in the FAL at Toulouse, the final assembly of the MSN10 has started, this is a summary of the workpackages being assembled in each site:

Nantes                starting MSN39                 centre wing box and keel beam
St. Nazaire          starting MSN18                 centre fuselage and front fuselage
Broughton           starting MSN17                 wing box
Bremen               starting MSN11                 wing equipping
Hamburg             starting MSN18                 forward&aft fus, rear pressure bulkhd install
Stade                   starting MSN29                 aft fus upper shell, wing upper cover and VTP
Illescas                starting MSN38                 section 19, wing lower cover
Puerto Real         starting MSN24                 Horizontal Tail Plane box
Getafe                  starting MSN28                 section 19 assembly and Horizontal Tail plane






Based on the presentation of Didier Evrard during the Innovation Days available here.

28 June 2014

A350 Freighter variant and ultra-long-range variant

Currently that the discussion regarding the future of the A350-800 is on the table, here it is an old presentation from Airbus where the A350 family is positioned. 




Dated on 2007, a freighter variant and an Ultra-long-range variant were mentioned as future developments of the A350 family. Since then, these 2 variants have not been mentioned again.